IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Long Beach St.
Big West
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.2	#189
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.3	#26
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.0	#170

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.2	#207

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.9%	14.9%	7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Average Seed	14.4	13.7	14.6

.500 or above	39.7%	67.3%	36.6%
.500 or above in Conference	65.8%	80.0%	64.2%
Conference Champion	9.5%	16.8%	8.7%
Last Place in Conference	3.0%	1.0%	3.2%

First Four	1.5%	1.2%	1.5%
First Round	7.3%	14.6%	6.4%
Second Round	0.7%	1.8%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UCLA (Away) - 10.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.1 - 1.7	0.1 - 1.7
Quad 1b	0.2 - 2.1	0.3 - 3.8
Quad 2	0.9 - 3.9	1.2 - 7.7
Quad 3	3.3 - 5.4	4.4 - 13.1
Quad 4	8.9 - 3.5	13.4 - 16.6

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2018	50	@ UCLA	L	76-87	10%
Nov 12, 2018	43	@ Arizona St.	L	78-89	10%
Nov 16, 2018	21	@ Mississippi St.	L	69-84	5%
Nov 19, 2018	133	Iona	L	80-84	37%
Nov 21, 2018	152	Utah Valley	L	75-77	42%
Nov 25, 2018	82	Oregon St.	L	70-77	35%
Nov 28, 2018	58	@ USC	L	72-82	12%
Dec 01, 2018	121	@ San Diego	L	72-76	26%
Dec 05, 2018	295	Southern Utah	W	84-78	79%
Dec 08, 2018	91	@ Fresno St.	L	71-78	20%
Dec 10, 2018	168	@ Pacific	L	75-76	37%
Dec 20, 2018	234	Pepperdine	W	79-76	69%
Dec 22, 2018	180	Colorado St.	L	78-79	59%
Dec 29, 2018	108	@ Stanford	L	76-81	24%
Jan 12, 2019	131	UC Davis	L	72-76	47%
Jan 16, 2019	90	@ UC Irvine	L	70-77	21%
Jan 19, 2019	143	Cal St. Fullerton	L	76-79	52%
Jan 23, 2019	342	@ Cal St. Northridge	W	79-66	79%
Jan 26, 2019	177	UC Santa Barbara	L	75-76	57%
Jan 31, 2019	201	@ Hawaii	W	75-74	44%
Feb 02, 2019	90	UC Irvine	L	70-77	37%
Feb 07, 2019	201	Hawaii	W	75-74	63%
Feb 09, 2019	317	@ Cal Poly	W	79-71	66%
Feb 13, 2019	143	@ Cal St. Fullerton	L	76-79	32%
Feb 16, 2019	131	@ UC Davis	L	72-76	29%
Feb 20, 2019	342	Cal St. Northridge	W	79-66	90%
Feb 23, 2019	282	@ UC Riverside	W	77-72	57%
Feb 28, 2019	177	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	75-76	39%
Mar 02, 2019	317	Cal Poly	W	79-71	81%
Mar 06, 2019	282	UC Riverside	W	77-72	75%
Projected Record						13.4 - 16.6	8.7 - 7.3

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.1	0.8	2.1	3.0	2.4	1.0	0.2		9.5	1st
2nd									0.0	0.1	1.7	4.9	4.6	1.8	0.2				13.4	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.4	2.9	6.6	4.7	1.0	0.0					15.6	3rd
4th							0.0	0.6	3.8	6.3	4.4	0.5	0.0						15.7	4th
5th						0.1	1.1	4.8	6.5	3.2	0.4								16.0	5th
6th					0.1	1.6	4.6	5.1	2.0	0.1									13.5	6th
7th			0.0	0.3	1.6	3.7	3.1	1.0	0.1										9.9	7th
8th		0.0	0.3	1.4	1.8	1.1	0.3	0.0											5.0	8th
9th	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0												1.5	9th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.9	2.1	3.8	6.6	9.1	11.5	12.7	12.6	13.2	11.0	7.7	4.8	2.6	1.0	0.2			Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
15-1	100.0%	1.0		1.0	0.0
14-2	91.2%	2.4		1.8	0.6
13-3	62.1%	3.0		1.8	1.1	0.1
12-4	26.8%	2.1		0.6	1.0	0.4	0.1
11-5	7.0%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1
10-6	0.5%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	9.5%	9.5		5.5	3.0	0.7	0.3

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.2%		59.8%	51.6%	8.2%	11.9							0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		17.0%
15-1	1.0%		56.0%	51.6%	4.4%	12.1						0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.5		9.1%
14-2	2.6%		41.3%	40.2%	1.1%	13.5										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	1.5		1.8%
13-3	4.8%		24.1%	24.0%	0.0%	14.1											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.2	3.7		0.0%
12-4	7.7%		17.7%	17.6%	0.2%	14.6													0.1	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.3	6.3		0.2%
11-5	11.0%		12.8%	12.8%		14.8												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.5	9.6
10-6	13.2%		7.6%	7.6%		15.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	12.2
9-7	12.6%		5.5%	5.5%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	11.9
8-8	12.7%		2.0%	2.0%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.2	12.5
7-9	11.5%		0.8%	0.8%		15.9																0.0	0.1	11.4
6-10	9.1%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.1	8.9
5-11	6.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	6.6
4-12	3.8%																							3.8
3-13	2.1%																							2.1
2-14	0.9%																							0.9
1-15	0.2%																							0.2
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		7.9%	7.8%	0.1%	14.4						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.7	2.0	2.3	92.1		0.1%